ATTENTION: Severe Weather Likely This Afternoon, Overnight

Severe thunderstorms are already firing up across the state, generally tracking eastward to southeastward. We will have clusters of these thunderstorms continue to develop later this afternoon and evening, with threats being large hail, damaging winds, and heavy rainfall. Tonight, we are more confident for severe thunderstorms to move across a great deal of the northwest, central, and eastern parts of the state as afternoon thunderstorms developing across Kansas form a complex and track towards the south-southeast into Oklahoma. The primary threats from tonight’s storms will be damaging winds in excess of 60 mph along with the possibility of flash flooding. Remember: turn around, don’t drown!
***ATTENTION: A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH has been issued for several Oklahoma counties until 10:00 PM CDT tonight.

Track Current Storms

This Afternoon/Evening

Where we currently do not have thunderstorms, skies are partly to mostly cloudy across the state, with temperatures in the mid-80s to mid-90s. Clusters of thunderstorms may continue develop across the state this afternoon; those that have developed will continue an east to southeast track. These developing storms could become severe, producing damaging winds in excess of 70 mph and hail to the size of half-dollars. The tornado threat is low, but we, of course, can never rule tornadoes out completely. All of central and western Oklahoma, as well as northeast Oklahoma, is outlined in a slight risk by the Storm Prediction Center through overnight. Therefore, please be cautious and have a plan should severe weather strike.












Overnight
The yellow-shaded area on the graphic above has the best chance of seeing thunderstorms, some of which could be severe, overnight. This is, again, from a cluster of afternoon thunderstorms we expect towards the north to track south-southeastward into the state. As these clusters of storms merge together, they will start to bow out, meaning that the primary severe threat will be damaging winds in excess of 60 mph. Flooding will also be a concern, so be sure to take heed to any flash flood warnings that may be issued throughout the night. The storms are slated to affect the state through at least 8 am Monday morning before finally tapering off.













The Week Ahead
Following morning storms on Monday, skies will generally remain mostly cloudy in the central and east. For the core of the state, we have a 20 to 50 percent chance for thunderstorms every day and night through Wednesday night. Temperatures will also be considerably cooler as we see highs in the mid-to-upper-80s to start out the week. By the latter half of the week, rain chances become nonexistent and temperatures begin to heat up once again.






Resources
Storm Prediction Center
National Weather Service Amarillo, TX
National Weather Service Norman, OK
National Weather Service Tulsa, OK
Are you confused by the terms “slight risk,” “moderate risk,” and “high risk” that are used by the Storm Prediction Center? For more information on what a slight risk is, please click HERE. For more information on what moderate and high risks are, please click HERE. These graphics and information have been provided by the National Weather Service Office in Norman, OK and are available on their Facebook page.

Sources: NWS, SPC, HOOT