Sunday, February 9, 2014

More Wintry Weather Expected This Week
















Following four systems that brought snow to parts of Oklahoma this past week, a couple of rounds of wintry weather are expected across the state early this week.  From tonight through Monday, there is a chance for some light wintry precipitation to fall across the state.  Monday night into Tuesday will bring the chance for more significant wintry precipitation to parts of Oklahoma, with some snow accumulations likely in parts of the state.  Unfortunately, models are having a difficult time with the Monday-Tuesday system, so it has been a challenge to predict accumulations and exact track of the storm.  Any trend farther to the north or south with the low will have significant implications on the outcome of the event.  Here are the forecast details presented as of now.  You will want to check back with the National Weather Service serving your area later tonight and tomorrow for updated forecasts.  We will try to post an updated blog post later in the day tomorrow informing you of these changes.

PANHANDLE: For tonight, expect occasional flurries, freezing drizzle, and areas of freezing fog.  Lows will drop down to the low-teens.  An east to northeast wind will blow between 5 and 10 mph, creating wind chill values between 5 and 10 degrees above zero.  For Monday, occasional flurries and freezing drizzle will occur through mid-afternoon before a slight chance of snow showers beginning mid-afternoon and lasting through Monday night into Tuesday morning.  Monday's highs will only be in the low-20s due to the passage of a cold front.  Monday's night's lows will be in the low-to-mid-teens.  On Tuesday, expect skies to clear and highs to rise to the mid-to-upper-30s.

NORTHWEST: Areas of freezing drizzle and freezing fog can be expected tonight, with a slight chance of snow occurring through the morning on Monday.  Snow showers will transition to flurries before tapering off Monday afternoon.  Skies will remain cloudy.  Snow chances at this time are no greater than 30 percent, with accumulations totaling less than half an inch.  Lows tonight will fall to the mid-teens, with highs on Monday only rising to the low-20s.

On Monday night and Tuesday morning, a 30 to 40 percent chance for snow can be expected.  Accumulations will total one-half to one inch.  After the snow ends around noon, skies will slowly begin to clear, with highs rising to the upper-20s and low-30s.

SOUTHWEST: Areas of freezing drizzle and freezing fog will settle in tonight with lows dropping to the low-20s.  Freezing drizzle and freezing fog will last through the morning tomorrow.  While the fog lifts during the afternoon, skies will still remain mostly cloudy.  Highs will only reach the chilly upper-20s.  For Monday night and Tuesday through noon, a 40 percent chance for snow can be expected.  A sharp snow gradient is expected to set up.  In the extreme southwest, up to 3 inches of snow is possible.  Surrounding this, on a line from Wichita Falls through Altus, 1 to 2 inches of snow is possible.  However, north of here, only a dusting to 1 inch can be expected, with snow accumulations less likely in the Lawton area.  Again, this can change, so please stay tuned to future forecasts.  Lows Monday night will be in the low-20s, with highs on Tuesday in the low-30s, still below freezing.

NORTH CENTRAL: Through early morning tomorrow, expect areas of freezing drizzle and freezing fog.  Then, expect a chance for snow beginning early-morning tomorrow and becoming more likely later in the morning through noon Monday.  Accumulations of up to 2 inches are possible.  Tonight's lows will be in the mid-teens, with Monday's highs only in the mid-20s.

On Monday night and Tuesday, expect a lesser chance for snow with minimal accumulations.  Monday night's lows will fall down to the upper-single-digits.  Any snow will taper off by noon on Tuesday, with skies partially clearing for the rest of the day with highs rising to the upper-20s.

CENTRAL: Freezing drizzle and freezing fog will occur tonight.  Freezing drizzle may mix with snow flurries Monday morning before becoming all snow flurries Monday afternoon.  The lows tonight will drop to the mid-to-upper-teens.  Monday's highs will rise to the mid-to-upper-20s.  Snow accumulations will be minimal as only flurries are expected.  For Monday night and Tuesday, however, expect a 40 percent chance for snow in the morning.  Accumulations will be between one-half and one inch.  On Monday night, lows will drop down to the mid-teens.  On Tuesday, highs will rise to the upper-20s.

SOUTH CENTRAL: Drizzle will transition to freezing drizzle near midnight tonight, with areas of fog, becoming freezing fog near midnight, also developing.  Lows will drop down to the mid-20s tonight, with highs on Monday rising to around the freezing mark.  From Monday night through Tuesday evening, expect a 30 to 40 percent for snow.  Monday night's lows will drop to the mid-20s, with Tuesday's highs rising to the mid-30s.  Accumulations will total less than an inch.

NORTHEAST: Before midnight, expect areas of freezing drizzle, then after midnight expect a mix of freezing drizzle, sleet, and snow.  The wintry mix will transition to all snow early Monday morning and last through noon.  Then skies will remain cloudy.  Expect lows in the upper-teens to low-20s tonight, with highs on Monday reaching the mid-to-upper-20s.  For Monday night, there exists a high chance for snow farther towards the south of the region, especially in the Tulsa area, with accumulations nearing an inch possible.  Lows will drop down to the low-to-mid-teens.  On Tuesday, all precipitation is expected to end, with partly cloudy skies and highs reaching the upper-20s.

SOUTHEAST: The extreme part of the region will see only rain tonight and tomorrow as temperatures remain above freezing in the mid-to-upper-30s.  On Monday night, expect a chance for snow with lows in the mid-20s.  For Tuesday, expect a mix of rain and snow, with a high rising to the mid-30s.  For Tuesday night before midnight, a snow and sleet mixture will occur.

The remainder of the region will see a wintry mix of freezing drizzle and sleet tonight, with lows falling to the upper-20s.  On Monday, a slight chance of snow and sleet will fall, mainly in the morning, with a high reaching the mid-30s in the afternoon.  For Monday night, expect a 50 percent chance for snow, with lows in the low-20s.  On Tuesday, with highs in the low-30s, expect a 30 percent chance for snow before noon.

***Please note that this forecast is likely to change.  Check with your local National Weather Service office for additional up-to-date details.

AC

Sources: NWS, NAM/GFS models, WBNG Action News (photo)

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